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no exact daily weather beyond 15 days." }, "periods": [ { "start": "2026-10-29", "end": "2026-11-04", "metrics": { "low": { "median": 17.63, "p10": 15.19, "p90": 20.27, "members": 52, "families": [ "ECCC", "NOAA" ], "coverage": [] }, "high": { "median": 26.94, "p10": 24.54, "p90": 29.69, "members": 52, "families": [ "ECCC", "NOAA" ], "coverage": [] }, "rain": { "median": 0.6, "p10": 0.0, "p90": 6.4, "members": 52, "families": [ "ECCC", "NOAA" ], "coverage": [], "p_0.2": 53.46, "p_1": 39.09, "p_5": 11.9, "p_10": 4.76 }, "wind": { "median": 20.1, "p10": 9.7, "p90": 31.3, "members": 52, "families": [ "ECCC", "NOAA" ], "coverage": [], "p_30": 10.45 }, "gust": { "median": 29.2, "p10": 22.3, "p90": 43.2, "members": 31, "families": [ "NOAA" ], "coverage": [], "p_40": 16.13, "p_60": 0.0 } } }, { "start": "2026-11-05", "end": "2026-11-07", "metrics": { "low": { "median": 16.7, "p10": 11.77, "p90": 20.93, "members": 52, "families": [ "ECCC", "NOAA" ], "coverage": [] }, "high": { "median": 26.17, "p10": 20.7, "p90": 30.37, "members": 52, "families": [ "ECCC", "NOAA" ], "coverage": [] }, "rain": { "median": 0.0, "p10": 0.0, "p90": 6.6, "members": 52, "families": [ "ECCC", "NOAA" ], "coverage": [], "p_0.2": 43.24, "p_1": 32.03, "p_5": 10.45, "p_10": 8.83 }, "wind": { "median": 13.9, "p10": 7.6, "p90": 29.3, "members": 52, "families": [ "ECCC", "NOAA" ], "coverage": [], "p_30": 6.45 }, "gust": { "median": 25.2, "p10": 16.6, "p90": 42.1, "members": 31, "families": [ "NOAA" ], "coverage": [], "p_40": 16.13, "p_60": 0.0 } } } ], "uncertainty": { "range": "P10–P90 is the middle 80% of family-balanced model scenarios, not a calibrated confidence interval.", "probabilities": "Model scenario frequencies in percent, not calibrated real-world probabilities.", "weighting": "Available model families have equal weight; variants share family weight. Families and members are not independent observations.", "coverage": "Each variable uses its own available families and members. 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